Financial Intermediaries and the Cross-Section of Asset Returns

Tobias Adrian, Erkko Etula and Tyler Muir

Journal of Finance, 2014, vol. 69, issue 6, 2557-2596

Abstract: type="main">

Financial intermediaries trade frequently in many markets using sophisticated models. Their marginal value of wealth should therefore provide a more informative stochastic discount factor (SDF) than that of a representative consumer. Guided by theory, we use shocks to the leverage of securities broker-dealers to construct an intermediary SDF. Intuitively, deteriorating funding conditions are associated with deleveraging and high marginal value of wealth. Our single-factor model prices size, book-to-market, momentum, and bond portfolios with an R-super-2 of 77% and an average annual pricing error of 1%—performing as well as standard multifactor benchmarks designed to price these assets.

Date: 2014
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