Foreign Exchange Fixings and Returns around the Clock
Ingomar Krohn,
Philippe Mueller () and
Paul Whelan
Journal of Finance, 2024, vol. 79, issue 1, 541-578
Abstract:
The U.S. dollar appreciates in the run‐up to foreign exchange (FX) fixes and depreciates thereafter, tracing a W‐shaped return pattern around the clock. Return reversals for the top nine traded currencies over a 21‐year period are pervasive and highly statistically significant, and they imply daily swings of more than one billion U.S. dollars based on spot volumes. Using natural experiments, we document the existence of a published reference rate determines the timing of intraday return reversals. We present evidence consistent with an inventory risk explanation whereby FX dealers intermediate unconditional demand for U.S. dollars at the fixes.
Date: 2024
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https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.13306
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Working Paper: Foreign Exchange Fixings and Returns Around the Clock (2021) 
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bla:jfinan:v:79:y:2024:i:1:p:541-578
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