Deriving small area estimates from information technology business surveys

A. F. Militino, M. D. Ugarte and T. Goicoa

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, 2015, vol. 178, issue 4, 1051-1067

Abstract: type="main" xml:id="rssa12105-abs-0001">

Knowledge of the current state of the art in information and communication technology of businesses (ICTB) is an important issue for governments, markets and policy makers, because information technology improves access to information and plays an important role in firms' competitiveness. Statistical agencies use normalized surveys to provide harmonized statistics about the use of technology in enterprises. Classical design-based estimators are appropriate for large domains, because direct estimates are consistent and easy to obtain by using sampling weights. However, to supply estimates for unplanned domains, where the sample size is random, model-based estimators are usually required. In this paper, alternative logistic model-based estimators are suggested to derive small area estimates from ICTB surveys. Final estimates are benchmarked to achieve coherence with direct estimates in larger domains, and standard errors are given by using bootstrap techniques. A Monte Carlo simulation study is conducted to compare the performance of the small area estimators proposed and to evaluate the behaviour of the mean-squared error estimator. Results are illustrated with the 2010 ICTB survey of the Basque country (Spain).

Date: 2015
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