Non‐parametric small area models using shape‐constrained penalized B‐splines
Julian Wagner,
Ralf Münnich,
Joachim Hill,
Johannes Stoffels and
Thomas Udelhoven
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, 2017, vol. 180, issue 4, 1089-1109
Abstract:
For the estimation of spruce timber reserves in individual forest districts of the German federal state Rhineland‐Palatinate, small area methods are applied. A model using stock values of the state forest inventory and a canopy height model derived by airborne laser scanning is used to provide adequate estimates. Since the interaction between the variables is non‐linear and must fulfil further constraints, a new spline‐based small area estimation method is proposed, formulated as a quadratic programming problem. This method enables providing realistic estimates via including specialized constraints which are especially important in practice as well as more stable estimates. The applicability of the new method and the related mean‐squared‐error estimators is shown in a simulation study. Further, spruce timber reserves in Rhineland‐Palatinate are estimated by using the new approach compared with already existing methods.
Date: 2017
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https://doi.org/10.1111/rssa.12295
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