EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

On the time to extinction in recurrent epidemics

I. Nåsell

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, 1999, vol. 61, issue 2, 309-330

Abstract: An approximation is derived for the expected time to extinction in a stochastic model for recurrent epidemics. Numerical illustrations indicate that the approximation is crude but that it has the correct order of magnitude. The quasi‐stationary distribution plays an important role in the derivation. Approximations for the critical community size and of the persistence threshold are derived. Comments are made on the classical study by Bartlell (1956–1960).

Date: 1999
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9868.00178

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bla:jorssb:v:61:y:1999:i:2:p:309-330

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://ordering.onli ... 1111/(ISSN)1467-9868

Access Statistics for this article

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B is currently edited by P. Fryzlewicz and I. Van Keilegom

More articles in Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B from Royal Statistical Society Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Wiley Content Delivery ().

 
Page updated 2025-03-19
Handle: RePEc:bla:jorssb:v:61:y:1999:i:2:p:309-330