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Analysis of a Simple Debugging Model

Adrian E. Raftery

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, 1988, vol. 37, issue 1, 12-22

Abstract: A system has an unknown number of faults. Each fault causes a failure of the system, and is then located and removed. The failure times are independent exponential random variables with common mean. A Bayesian analysis of this model is presented, with emphasis on the situation where vague prior knowledge is represented by limiting, improper, prior forms. This provides a test for reliability growth, estimates of the number of faults, an evaluation of current system reliability, a prediction of the time to full debugging, and a model checking procedure. Three examples are given.

Date: 1988
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C is currently edited by R. Chandler and P. W. F. Smith

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