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DOES LIMITING ALLOWABLE RATING VARIATION IN THE SMALL GROUP HEALTH INSURANCE MARKET AFFECT EMPLOYER SELF‐INSURANCE?

Erin Trish and Bradley Herring

Journal of Risk & Insurance, 2018, vol. 85, issue 3, 607-633

Abstract: The Affordable Care Act (ACA) imposes adjusted community rating in the small group market, which employers can avoid by self‐insuring, raising concerns about adverse selection. We evaluate the impact of limiting allowable rating variation on employer self‐insurance across industries with varied health risk, using cross‐state variation in pre‐ACA rating regulations, the nationally representative 2008–2013 KFF/HRET Employer Health Benefits Survey, and a triple‐difference regression approach. We find that lower risk employers subject to laws limiting allowable premium rating variation have a predicted probability of self‐insurance that is about 18 percentage points higher than otherwise‐similar higher risk employers, suggesting that these selection concerns are warranted.

Date: 2018
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https://doi.org/10.1111/jori.12184

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