 Insurability of pandemic risksHelmut Gründl, Danjela Guxha, Anastasia Kartasheva and Hato Schmeiser Journal of Risk & Insurance, 2021, vol. 88, issue 4, 863-902 Abstract: This paper analyzes the scope of the private market for pandemic insurance. We develop a framework that explains theoretically how the equilibrium price of pandemic insurance depends on accumulation risk, covariance between pandemic claims and other claims, and covariance between pandemic claims and the stock market performance. Using the natural catastrophe (NatCat) insurance market as a laboratory, we estimate the relationship between the insurance price markup and the tail characteristics of the loss distribution. Then, by using the high‐frequency data tracking the economic impact of the COVID‐19 pandemic in the United States, we calibrate the loss distribution of a hypothetical insurance contract designed to alleviate the impact of the pandemic on small businesses. The pandemic insurance contract price markup corresponds to the top 20% markup observed in the NatCat insurance market. Then we analyze an intertemporal risk‐sharing scheme that can reduce the expected shortfall of the loss distribution by 50%. Date: 2021 Downloads: (external link) Related works: Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bla:jrinsu:v:88:y:2021:i:4:p:863-902 Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from Access Statistics for this article Journal of Risk & Insurance is currently edited by Joan T. Schmit More articles in Journal of Risk & Insurance from The American Risk and Insurance Association Contact information at EDIRC. |
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