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On the three‐step non‐Gaussian quasi‐maximum likelihood estimation of heavy‐tailed double autoregressive models

Huan Gong and Dong Li

Journal of Time Series Analysis, 2020, vol. 41, issue 6, 883-891

Abstract: This note considers a three‐step non‐Gaussian quasi‐maximum likelihood estimation (TS‐NGQMLE) of the double autoregressive model with its asymptotics, which improves efficiency of the GQMLE and circumvents inconsistency of the NGQMLE when the innovation is heavy‐tailed. Under mild conditions, the estimator not only can achieve consistency and asymptotic normality regardless of density misspecification of the innovation, but also outperforms the existing estimators, such as the GQMLE and the (weighted) least absolute deviation estimator, when the innovation is indeed heavy‐tailed.

Date: 2020
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https://doi.org/10.1111/jtsa.12525

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