Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics

1969 - 2025

Current editor(s): Christopher Adam, Anindya Banerjee, Christopher Bowdler, David Hendry, Adriaan Kalwij, John Knight and Jonathan Temple

From Department of Economics, University of Oxford
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Volume 87, month 12, 2025

Has the Recession Started? pp. 1047-1058

Pascal Michaillat and Emmanuel Saez

Real‐Time Data, Revisions and the Predictive Ability of DSGE Models pp. 1059-1080

Jan Čapek, Jesús Crespo Cuaresma, Jakub Chalmovianský and Vlastimil Reichel

Validating DSGE Models Through SVARs Under Imperfect Information pp. 1081-1105

Paul Levine, Joseph Pearlman, Alessio Volpicella and Bo Yang

Optimal Monetary Policy Rules in a Behavioural New Keynesian Model pp. 1106-1121

Daisuke Ida

U.S. Wage‐Price Dynamics, Before, During and After COVID‐19, Through the Lens of an Empirical Econometric Model pp. 1122-1145

Gunnar Bårdsen and Ragnar Nymoen

The Role of Consumer Sentiment in the Stock Market: A Multivariate Dynamic Mixture Model With Threshold Effects pp. 1146-1157

Zacharias Psaradakis, Francisco Rapetti, Martin Sola and Patricio Yunis

Small Area Estimation of Monetary Poverty in Mexico Using Satellite Imagery and Machine Learning pp. 1158-1172

David Newhouse, Anusha Ramakrishnan, Tom Swartz, Josh Merfeld and Partha Lahiri

Seasonal Temperatures and Economic Growth in the United Kingdom pp. 1173-1189

Lotanna E. Emediegwu, Veronica Vienne and Jubril Animashaun

Unemployment Dynamics With Informality: An Empirical Analysis for a Developing Country pp. 1190-1196

Miguel Nathan Foguel, Carlos Henrique Corseuil and Ajax Moreira

The Impacts of Local Housing Markets on U.S. Presidential Elections: Via the Collateral Channel pp. 1197-1213

Chi‐Young Choi, David Quigley and Xiaojun Wang

Self‐Normalising Tests Using the Cauchy Distribution pp. 1214-1226

Uwe Hassler and Mehdi Hosseinkouchack

A Randomised Test to Distinguish Time‐Varying Coefficient Models pp. 1227-1241

Xia Wang, Xueqiang Sui, Ying Wang and Xingtong Zhang

Volume 87, month 10, 2025

Speed of Convergence to Normality When Regressors Are Nonstationary pp. 871-879

Lukasz T. Gatarek and Aleksander Welfe

Unit Root Tests for Explosive Financial Bubbles in the Presence of Deterministic Level Shifts pp. 880-898

David I. Harvey, Stephen J. Leybourne, Benjamin S. Tatlow and Yang Zu

Boosting GMM With Many Instruments When Some Are Invalid And/Or Irrelevant pp. 899-912

Hao Hao and Tae‐Hwy Lee

Bayesian Estimation of the Normal Location Model: A Non‐Standard Approach pp. 913-923

Giuseppe De Luca, Jan R. Magnus and Franco Peracchi

Teacher Bias and Evaluation Differences in Test Scores: Different Methods for Different Questions pp. 924-941

Judith M. Delaney and Paul Devereux

On My Own: Boosting Financial Literacy Among Disadvantaged Youth in Peru pp. 942-951

Chris M. Boyd and Jaime Ramos Duffaut

Distributional Effects of Monetary Policy in the Short Run—Evidence From Norway pp. 952-990

Yasin Mimir, Mathis Mæhlum and Kjersti‐Næss Torstensen

Recessions, Recoveries, and Leverage pp. 991-1002

Sui Luo, Yu‐Fan Huang and Richard Startz

The Impact of a New Workplace Technology on Employees pp. 1003-1024

Marek Giebel and Alexander Lammers

The Beveridge Curve, Matching, and Labour Market Flows: A Reinterpretation pp. 1025-1044

Nils Gottfries and Karolina Stadin

Volume 87, month 08, 2025

The UK Productivity “Puzzle” in an International Comparative Perspective pp. 691-710

John Fernald and Robert Inklaar

Monetization and the Fiscal Multiplier pp. 711-734

Michele Fratianni, Riccardo (Jack) Lucchetti, Federico Giri and Francesco Valentini

Task Difficulty and Gender Differences in Competitiveness: Evidence From Botswana pp. 735-750

Michalis Drouvelis and Graeme Pearce

Does Less Education Harm Health? Evidence From a Natural Experiment in a Developing Country pp. 751-770

Islam Khalil, Debdulal Mallick and Aaron Nicholas

The Long‐Term Effects of In Utero Exposure to Rubella pp. 771-788

Irene Mosca and Anne Nolan

Healthy Ageing for All? A Health Growth Incidence Curve Approach pp. 789-799

Vincenzo Carrieri, Andrew Jones, Francesco Principe and Maria Maddalena Speziali

Quarterly GDP Estimates for the German States: New Data for Business Cycle Analyses pp. 800-814

Robert Lehmann and Ida Wikman

Threshold Expectile Regressions With an Unknown Threshold for Dependent Data pp. 815-836

Feipeng Zhang and Yundong Tu

Factor Models With Sparse Vector Autoregressive Idiosyncratic Components pp. 837-849

Jonas Krampe and Luca Margaritella

Detecting Multiple Structural Breaks in Systems of Linear Regression Equations With Integrated and Stationary Regressors pp. 850-865

Karsten Schweikert

Volume 87, month 06, 2025

Economic Growth Analysis When Balanced Growth Paths May Be Time Varying pp. 477-498

Andrew Mountford

The Growth Effect of State Capacity Revisited pp. 499-538

Trung Vu

State‐Dependent Exchange Rate Pass‐Through pp. 539-561

Yan Carrière‐Swallow, Melih Firat, Davide Furceri and Daniel Jiménez

Who Gets Vaccinated? Cognitive and Non‐Cognitive Predictors of Individual Behaviour in Pandemics pp. 562-585

Mark Andor, Thomas K. Bauer, Jana Eßer, Christoph Schmidt and Lukas Tomberg

In Utero Shocks and Health at Birth: The Distorting Effect of Fetal Losses pp. 586-612

Tamás Hajdu

How Deep Are the Roots of Female Empowerment? Population Diversity and Gender Inequality pp. 613-658

Trung Vu

Testing for Threshold Effects in the Presence of Heteroskedasticity and Measurement Error With an Application to Italian Strikes pp. 659-689

Francesco Angelini, Massimiliano Castellani, Simone Giannerini and Greta Goracci

Volume 87, month 04, 2025

Home‐Country Natural Disasters and Mental Health of Migrants pp. 287-309

Prashant Bharadwaj, Denise Doiron, Denzil Fiebig and Agne Suziedelyte

The Unintended Consequence of Stringent Immigration Enforcement on Staffing Levels in Nursing Homes: Evidence from Secure Communities pp. 310-329

Christian Gunadi

Long‐run Effects of Austerity: An Analysis of Size Dependence and Persistence in Fiscal Multipliers pp. 330-356

Guilherme Martins

Can Preferences for Redistribution Explain the Impact of Austerity on Political Participation? Evidence from the UK pp. 357-381

Patricia Justino, Bruno Martorano and Laura Metzger

Financial Advice and Household Financial Portfolios pp. 382-413

Sarah Brown, Alessandro Bucciol, Alberto Montagnoli and Karl Taylor

Judicial Reform and Banks Credit Risk Exposure* pp. 414-447

Giulia Canzian and Antonella Ferrara

Handling Distinct Correlated Effects with CCE pp. 448-475

Ovidijus Stauskas and Ignace De Vos

Volume 87, month 02, 2025

Consumption Responses to Income Shocks through Lottery Winning: Evidence from Older Adults in Singapore pp. 1-25

Seonghoon Kim and Kanghyock Koh

A Common Consumption Pattern in China: Evidence and Mechanism pp. 26-63

Yucheng Sun and Xianbo Zhou

The Real Effects of Credit Supply Shocks: Evidence from an Emerging Economy pp. 64-97

Aleksei Kiselev, Daria Kolesnik, Mikhail Mamonov and Anna Pestova

Monetary Policy Effectiveness under the Ultra‐Low Interest Rate Environment: Evidence from Yield Curve Dynamics in Japan pp. 98-121

Shigenori Shiratsuka

The Real Effects of Zombie Lending in Europe pp. 122-154

Belinda Tracey

Factoring in the Micro: A Transaction‐Level Dynamic Factor Approach to the Decomposition of Export Volatility pp. 155-184

Matteo Barigozzi, Angelo Cuzzola, Marco Grazzi and Daniele Moschella

Bayesian Estimation of Fixed Effects Models with Large Datasets pp. 185-194

Hang Qian

The Implications of Routine‐Biased Technological Change on Hours Worked Fluctuations pp. 195-251

Sebastien Bock and Idriss Fontaine

Balancing Study and Work: Heterogeneous Impact of the Bologna Reform on the Labour Market pp. 252-286

Stanislav Avdeev