Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics

1969 - 2025

Current editor(s): Christopher Adam, Anindya Banerjee, Christopher Bowdler, David Hendry, Adriaan Kalwij, John Knight and Jonathan Temple

From Department of Economics, University of Oxford
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Volume 87, month 04, 2025

Home‐Country Natural Disasters and Mental Health of Migrants pp. 287-309

Prashant Bharadwaj, Denise Doiron, Denzil Fiebig and Agne Suziedelyte

The Unintended Consequence of Stringent Immigration Enforcement on Staffing Levels in Nursing Homes: Evidence from Secure Communities pp. 310-329

Christian Gunadi

Long‐run Effects of Austerity: An Analysis of Size Dependence and Persistence in Fiscal Multipliers pp. 330-356

Guilherme Klein Martins

Can Preferences for Redistribution Explain the Impact of Austerity on Political Participation? Evidence from the UK pp. 357-381

Patricia Justino, Bruno Martorano and Laura Metzger

Financial Advice and Household Financial Portfolios pp. 382-413

Sarah Brown, Alessandro Bucciol, Alberto Montagnoli and Karl Taylor

Judicial Reform and Banks Credit Risk Exposure* pp. 414-447

Giulia Canzian and Antonella Rita Ferrara

Handling Distinct Correlated Effects with CCE pp. 448-475

Ovidijus Stauskas and Ignace De Vos

Volume 87, month 02, 2025

Consumption Responses to Income Shocks through Lottery Winning: Evidence from Older Adults in Singapore pp. 1-25

Seonghoon Kim and Kanghyock Koh

A Common Consumption Pattern in China: Evidence and Mechanism pp. 26-63

Yucheng Sun and Xianbo Zhou

The Real Effects of Credit Supply Shocks: Evidence from an Emerging Economy pp. 64-97

Aleksei Kiselev, Daria Kolesnik, Mikhail Mamonov and Anna Pestova

Monetary Policy Effectiveness under the Ultra‐Low Interest Rate Environment: Evidence from Yield Curve Dynamics in Japan pp. 98-121

Shigenori Shiratsuka

The Real Effects of Zombie Lending in Europe pp. 122-154

Belinda Tracey

Factoring in the Micro: A Transaction‐Level Dynamic Factor Approach to the Decomposition of Export Volatility pp. 155-184

Matteo Barigozzi, Angelo Cuzzola, Marco Grazzi and Daniele Moschella

Bayesian Estimation of Fixed Effects Models with Large Datasets pp. 185-194

Hang Qian

The Implications of Routine‐Biased Technological Change on Hours Worked Fluctuations pp. 195-251

Sebastien Bock and Idriss Fontaine

Balancing Study and Work: Heterogeneous Impact of the Bologna Reform on the Labour Market pp. 252-286

Stanislav Avdeev

Volume 86, month 12, 2024

A Kick for the GDP: The Effect of Winning the FIFA World Cup pp. 1313-1341

Marco Mello

The Euro Area Government Spending Multiplier in Demand‐ and Supply‐Driven Recessions pp. 1342-1372

Mario Di Serio, Matteo Fragetta, Emanuel Gasteiger and Giovanni Melina

Changes in Inflation Dynamics in Korea: Global Factor, Country Factor and Their Propagation pp. 1373-1408

Yun Jung Kim and Noh‐Sun Kwark

Demographics and Emissions: The Life Cycle of Consumption Carbon Intensity pp. 1409-1437

Henrique S. Basso, Richard Jaimes and Omar Rachedi

The Impact of Firm Technology on Carbon Disclosure: The Critical Role of Stakeholder Pressure pp. 1438-1471

Morakinyo O. Adetutu, Kayode A. Odusanya, Eleni Stathopoulou and Thomas G. Weyman‐Jones

How Large is the Sovereign Greenium? pp. 1472-1483

Sakai Ando, Chenxu Fu, Francisco Roch and Ursula Wiriadinata

Chinese Import Competition and Prices: Evidence from India pp. 1484-1510

Pavel Chakraborty, Michael Henry and Rahul Singh

Should Developed Economies Manage International Capital Flows? An Empirical and Welfare Analysis pp. 1511-1538

Dennis Bonam, Gavin Goy and Emmanuel de Veirman

Volume 86, month 10, 2024

Fence off Black Swans: The Economics of Insurance for Vaccine Injury pp. 995-1025

Ze Chen, Bingzheng Chen and Yu Mao

A Green Wave in Media: A Change of Tack in Stock Markets pp. 1026-1057

Marie Bessec and Julien Fouquau

Brexit: Trade Diversion due to Trade Policy Uncertainty pp. 1058-1088

Eduardo Gutiérrez Chacón, Aitor Lacuesta and César Martín‐Machuca

What Drives House Prices in Europe? pp. 1089-1121

Federica Ciocchetta, Elisa Guglielminetti and Alessandro Mistretta

Effects of Grandmothers' Proximity on Mothers' Labour Force Participation* pp. 1122-1162

Pelin Akyol and Zeynep Yılmaz

Does Self‐employment Pay? The Role of Unemployment and Earnings Risk pp. 1163-1197

Joaquín García‐Cabo and Rocio Madera

Occupational Mobility of Routine Workers pp. 1198-1229

Terhi Maczulskij

Public Healthcare Financing during Counterinsurgency Efforts: Evidence from Colombia pp. 1230-1259

Samuel Lordemus, Noemi Kreif and Rodrigo Moreno‐Serra

Multivariate Trend‐Cycle‐Seasonal Decompositions with Correlated Innovations pp. 1260-1289

Jing Tian, Jan Jacobs and Denise R. Osborn

Averaging Estimation for Instrumental Variables Quantile Regression pp. 1290-1312

Xin Liu

Volume 86, month 08, 2024

What a Puzzle! Unravelling Why UK Phillips Curves were Unstable pp. 743-760

Jennifer Castle and David Hendry

Revisiting the Phillips Curve: The Empirical Relationship Yet to be Validated pp. 761-793

Hoang‐Phuong Do and Aris Spanos

A Factor‐Augmented New Keynesian Phillips Curve for the European Union Countries pp. 794-810

Milda Norkute and Joakim Westerlund

Forecasting Inflation with the New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Frequencies Matter pp. 811-832

Manuel Martins and Fabio Verona

A New Approach to Forecasting the Probability of Recessions after the COVID‐19 Pandemic pp. 833-855

Maximo Camacho, Salvador Ramallo and Manuel Ruiz

Should the Fiscal Authority Avoid Implementation Lag? pp. 856-870

Masataka Eguchi, Hidekazu Niwa and Takayuki Tsuruga

Inequality in an Equal Society pp. 871-904

Laura Harvey, Jochen O. Mierau and James Rockey

A Semi‐parametric Panel Data Model with Common Factors and Spatial Dependence pp. 905-927

Alexandra Soberon, Antonio Musolesi and Juan M. Rodriguez‐Poo

A Spatial Sample Selection Model pp. 928-950

Yong Bao, Gucheng Li and Xiaotian Liu

The Paper of How: Estimating Treatment Effects Using the Front‐Door Criterion pp. 951-993

Marc Bellemare, Jeffrey Bloem and Noah Wexler

Volume 86, month 06, 2024

Opium Price Shocks and Prescription Opioids in the USA* pp. 449-484

Claudio Deiana, Ludovica Giua and Roberto Nisticò

Does Stress Shorten Your Life? Evidence from Parental Bereavement pp. 485-518

Bernhard Schmidpeter

Interpretable Machine Learning Using Partial Linear Models pp. 519-540

Emmanuel Flachaire, Sullivan Hué, Sébastien Laurent and Gilles Hacheme

Do Financial Markets Respond to Populist Rhetoric? pp. 541-567

Cem Çakmakli, Selva Demi̇ralp and Gökhan Şahi̇n Güneş

Firm‐specific Human Capital Accumulation: Evidence from Brazil pp. 568-605

Tiago Pires, Arek Szydłowski and Shuai Zhao

Impact of Graduating with Honours on Entry Wages of Economics Majors pp. 606-640

Salim Atay, Gunes Asik and Semih Tumen

A Non‐parametric Estimation of Productivity with Idiosyncratic and Aggregate Shocks: The Role of Research and Development (R&D) and Corporate Tax pp. 641-671

Ioannis Bournakis and Mike Tsionas

Global Financial Risk, Equity Returns and Economic Activity in Emerging Countries pp. 672-689

Jaroslav Horvath and Guanyi Yang

Value‐at‐Risk under Measurement Error pp. 690-713

Mohamed Doukali, Xiaojun Song and Abderrahim Taamouti

Solving the Forecast Combination Puzzle Using Double Shrinkages pp. 714-741

Li Liu, Xianfeng Hao and Yudong Wang

Volume 86, month 04, 2024

Drought‐Reliefs and Partisanship pp. 187-208

Federico Boffa, Francisco Cavalcanti, Christian Fons‐Rosen and Amedeo Piolatto

The Effect of Immigration on Occupational Injuries: Evidence from Administrative Data pp. 209-235

Caterina Alacevich and Catia Nicodemo

The impact of import competition from China on firm‐level productivity growth in the European Union pp. 236-256

Klaus Friesenbichler, Agnes Kügler and Andreas Reinstaller

Peer Migration in China pp. 257-313

Yuyu Chen, Ginger Zhe Jin and Yang Yue

Global Demand and Supply Sentiment: Evidence From Earnings Calls pp. 314-334

Franz Ruch and Temel Taskin

The Macroprudential Toolkit: Effectiveness and Interactions pp. 335-384

Stephen Millard, Margarita Rubio and Alexandra Varadi

Looking Beyond the Trap: Fiscal Legacy and Central Bank Independence pp. 385-416

Charles de Beauffort

Why Transform Y? The Pitfalls of Transformed Regressions with a Mass at Zero pp. 417-447

John Mullahy and Edward Norton

Volume 86, month 02, 2024

A Brief History of General‐to‐specific Modelling pp. 1-20

David Hendry

Smooth and Abrupt Dynamics in Financial Volatility: The MS‐MEM‐MIDAS pp. 21-43

Luca Scaffidi Domianello, Giampiero Gallo and Edoardo Otranto

Non‐parametric Estimator for Conditional Mode with Parametric Features pp. 44-73

Tao Wang

Partial Identification of Marginal Treatment Effects with Discrete Instruments and Misreported Treatment* pp. 74-100

Santiago Acerenza

Are Economics Conferences Gender‐Neutral? Evidence from Ireland pp. 101-118

Margaret Samahita and Kevin Devereux

Sequencing the COVID‐19 Recession in the USA: What Were the Macroeconomic Drivers? pp. 119-136

Max Breitenlechner, Martin Geiger, Daniel Gründler and Johann Scharler

Identifying Politically Connected Firms: A Machine Learning Approach pp. 137-155

Vítězslav Titl, Deni Mazrekaj and Fritz Schiltz

Foetal Exposure to Air Pollution and Students' Cognitive Performance: Evidence from Agricultural Fires in Brazil pp. 156-186

Juliana Carneiro, Matthew Cole and Eric Strobl