Accounting for Recent Fertility Swings in Cuba

Sergio Díaz-Briquets

Population and Development Review, 2014, vol. 40, issue 4, 677-693

Abstract: type="main">

In 2006, Cuba's TFR had declined to 1.39, a level nearly comparable to those found in ultra-low-fertility but far richer European and Asian countries. Given the vast economic differences, Cuba's very low fertility was anomalous. Since 2006, and in tandem with what has occurred in many other low-fertility countries, the Cuban TFR has increased. This article contends that the TFR increase largely was a response to improvements in the welfare of individual households—and thus, in their financial ability to have children. These improvements were the result of considerable permanent and temporary labor emigration, which together with US and Cuban policy changes, led to a surge in remittances and contributed to easing Cuba's perennial housing shortage.

Date: 2014
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