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The effect of migration on income growth and convergence: Meta‐analytic evidence

Ceren Ozgen, Peter Nijkamp and Jacques Poot

Papers in Regional Science, 2010, vol. 89, issue 3, 537-561

Abstract: Abstract We compare a set of econometric studies that measure the effect of net internal migration in neoclassical models of long‐run real income convergence and derive 67 comparable effect sizes. The precision‐weighted estimate of beta convergence is about 2.7 per cent. An increase of one percentage point in the net migration rate of a region increases the per capita income growth rate in that region on average by about 0.1 percentage points. Introducing a net migration variable in a growth regression increases the estimate of beta convergence slightly. Studies that use panel models or IV estimation methods yield smaller coefficients of net migration in growth regressions, while the opposite holds for regressions controlling for high‐skilled migration. Resumen Comparamos un conjunto de estudios econométricos que miden el efecto de la migración interna neta en modelos neoclásicos de convergencia de ingresos reales a largo plazo y de ahí obtenemos 67 tamaños de efectos comparables. La estimación ponderada por precisión de la beta‐convergencia es aproximadamente del 2.7 por ciento. Un aumento de un punto porcentual en la tasa de migración neta de una región aumenta la tasa de crecimiento de ingresos per cápita en dicha región en un promedio de aproximadamente 0.1 puntos porcentuales. El introducir una variable de migración neta en una regresión de crecimiento aumenta ligeramente el valor estimado de beta‐convergencia. Los estudios que usan modelos de panel o métodos de estimación por VI producen coeficientes menores de migración neta en regresiones de crecimiento, mientras que sucede lo contrario para regresiones que controlan migración altamente cualificada.

Date: 2010
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (31)

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https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1435-5957.2010.00313.x

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Working Paper: The Effect of Migration on Income Growth and Convergence: Meta-Analytic Evidence (2009) Downloads
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