THE USE OF TENDENCY SURVEYS IN EXTRAPOLATING NATIONAL ACCOUNTS

Frank E. M. Ouddeken and Gerrit M. Zijlmans

Review of Income and Wealth, 1991, vol. 37, issue 3, 301-312

Abstract: A well‐known way of using tendency survey data is the construction of Composite Leading Indicators (CLIs). It is rather peculiar that CLIs pretend to predict macroeconomic aggregates, while their construction is not consistent with the way actual macroeconomic statistics are compiled. This paper contains preliminary results of an attempt to integrate tendency survey indicators into the framework of the Dutch Quarterly Accounts. We conclude that tendency survey indicators can contribute to an explanation of trends in “real” economic variables. Many of these indicators lead the Quarterly Accounts indicators. They can, therefore, contribute to a timely estimation of National Accounts aggregates.

Date: 1991
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https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-4991.1991.tb00373.x

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