Analyzing Transportation Reconstruction Network Strategies: A Full Cost Approach

Sungbin Cho, Peter Gordon, Harry W. Richardson, James E. Moore and Masanobu Shinozuka

Review of Urban & Regional Development Studies, 2000, vol. 12, issue 3, 212-227

Abstract: Policymakers interested in evaluating the costs and benefits of earthquake retrofit and reconstruction strategies require a way to measure the benefits (costs avoided) of competing proposals. This requires an integrated, operational model of losses due to earthquake impacts on transportation and industrial capacity, and how these losses affect the metropolitan economy. Our approach to this problem advances the information provided by transportation and activity system analysis techniques in ways that help capture the most important economic implications of earthquakes. These full cost results have four dimensions: structure damage, business interruption, network performance, and infrastructure damage. Preliminary results for all four measures are summarized for a hypothetical magnitude 7.1 earthquake on the Elysian Park blind thrust fault in Los Angeles.

Date: 2000
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