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Explaining Export Duration in Kenya

Majune Socrates (), Eliud Moyi and Kamau Gathiaka

South African Journal of Economics, 2020, vol. 88, issue 2, 204-224

Abstract: This study establishes the hazard rate of exports from Kenya and identifies factors that explain the duration of exports using a discrete‐time random effects logit regression model. A difference‐in‐differences estimator is used to assess the effects of AGOA. Export data between Kenya and 176 partners over 21 years (1995–2016) is used. We find that first‐year survival rate is 39%. The median duration of Kenya’s exports is 1 year. AGOA enhances export survival, especially for apparels. COMESA also increases export survival but EAC has a dampening effect, even in SSA region. Differentiated products unlike capital‐intensive products improve export survival.

Date: 2020
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https://doi.org/10.1111/saje.12243

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