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Nonstationary space–time covariance functions induced by dynamical systems

Rachid Senoussi and Emilio Porcu

Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, 2022, vol. 49, issue 1, 211-235

Abstract: This article provides a novel approach to nonstationarity by considering a bridge between differential equations and spatial fields. We consider the dynamical transformation of a given spatial process undergoing the action of a temporal flow of space diffeomorphisms. Such dynamical deformations are shown to be connected to certain classes of ordinary and partial differential equations. The natural question arises of how such dynamical diffeomorphisms convert the original spatial covariance function, specifically if the original covariance is spatially stationary or isotropic. We first challenge this question from a general perspective, and then turn into the special cases of both d‐dimensional Euclidean spaces, and hyperspheres. Several examples of dynamical diffeomorphisms defined in these spaces are given and some emphasis has been put on the stationary reducibility problem. We provide a simple illustration to show the performance of the maximum likelihood estimation of the parameters of a family of dynamically deformed covariance functions.

Date: 2022
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https://doi.org/10.1111/sjos.12513

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