Maximum likelihood estimator for skew Brownian motion: The convergence rate

Antoine Lejay and Sara Mazzonetto

Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, 2024, vol. 51, issue 2, 612-642

Abstract: We give a thorough description of the asymptotic property of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the skewness parameter of a Skew Brownian Motion (SBM). Thanks to recent results on the Central Limit Theorem of the rate of convergence of estimators for the SBM, we prove a conjecture left open that the MLE has asymptotically a mixed normal distribution involving the local time with a rate of convergence of order 1/4. We also give a series expansion of the MLE and study the asymptotic behavior of the score and its derivatives, as well as their variation with the skewness parameter. In particular, we exhibit a specific behavior when the SBM is actually a Brownian motion, and quantify the explosion of the coefficients of the expansion when the skewness parameter is close to −1 or 1.

Date: 2024
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