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Cutoff for a class of auto‐regressive models with vanishing additive noise

Balázs Gerencsér and Andrea Ottolini

Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, 2025, vol. 52, issue 1, 314-331

Abstract: We analyze the convergence rates for a family of auto‐regressive Markov chains on Euclidean space depending on a parameter n$$ n $$, where at each step a randomly chosen coordinate is replaced by a noisy damped weighted average of the others. The interest in the model comes from the connection with a certain Bayesian scheme introduced by de Finetti in the analysis of partially exchangeable data. Our main result shows that, when n gets large (corresponding to a vanishing noise), a cutoff phenomenon occurs.

Date: 2025
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https://doi.org/10.1111/sjos.12748

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