Have output growth rates stabilised? evidence from the g‐7 economies

Terence C. Mills and Ping Wang

Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 2003, vol. 50, issue 3, 232-246

Abstract: In this paper we consider an extension of Hamilton's Markov chain model of output growth that allows for a one‐time structural break in the hyperparameters. We fit this model to post‐war quarterly output growth data from the G‐7 economies and find evidence for such a structural break in each of them, although the break occurs at different times. The break is always associated with a decline in volatility and often with a narrowing of the mean growth differential between the expansionary and recessionary regimes. The results show that stabilisation has typically been achieved at the expense of a reduction in growth rates.

Date: 2003
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (46)

Downloads: (external link)
https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9485.5003008

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bla:scotjp:v:50:y:2003:i:3:p:232-246

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.blackwell ... bs.asp?ref=0036-9292

Access Statistics for this article

Scottish Journal of Political Economy is currently edited by Tim Barmby, Andrew Hughes-Hallett and Campbell Leith

More articles in Scottish Journal of Political Economy from Scottish Economic Society Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Wiley Content Delivery ().