Rigorously interpreted quotation analysis for evaluating causal loop diagrams in late‐stage conceptualization

Andrada Tomoaia‐Cotisel, Samuel D. Allen, Hyunjung Kim, David Andersen and Zaid Chalabi

System Dynamics Review, 2022, vol. 38, issue 1, 41-80

Abstract: As a field, system dynamics has made more progress in developing formal model evaluation methods that use quantitative data than ones that use qualitative data. This article describes a formal method for evaluating a causal loop diagram (CLD) in late‐stage conceptualization – referred to as rigorously interpreted quotation analysis – and illustrates its application in a case study. The method uses a systematic and explicit interpretive process to confirm or disconfirm all diagram elements in a CLD by comparing it to stakeholders’ verbatim descriptions of their experiences in a complex dynamic situation. In so doing, this method enables the resolution of discrepancies between a CLD and qualitative data, building confidence in the structural aspects of a dynamic hypothesis. It does so via a process that is approachable for experts and stakeholders alike. © 2022 System Dynamics Society.

Date: 2022
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