Using system dynamics to support a functional exercise for pandemic preparedness and response

Caroline Green, Berend Beishuizen, Mart Stein, Chantal P. Rovers, Alma Tostmann, Daan L. K. de Jong, Claudia Houareau, Knut Perseke, Clara Spieker, Ulrike Grote, Patrick Csornai, Carlos Tighe, Conor Hayes, Jair Andrade, Máire A. Connolly and Jim Duggan

System Dynamics Review, 2024, vol. 40, issue 3

Abstract: In pandemic preparedness and response, a Functional Exercise (FX) is used to simulate a situation as close to a real‐life event as possible without the deployment of resources. Participants are drawn from public health emergency operations centres, and work through a scenario script to test possible responses to a novel pathogen outbreak. This paper summarises the role of system dynamics modelling in the design and implementation of a functional exercise, which involved the Dutch and German national public health institutes in March 2023. The findings confirm the value of the system dynamics method in integrating disease and hospital models, and also highlights how well the method aligns with modern software development processes. The paper concludes with a discussion of what worked well, and presents areas for future enhancements of management flight simulators to support functional exercises. © 2024 The Author(s). System Dynamics Review published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of System Dynamics Society.

Date: 2024
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