Dynamic spatial panel estimates of war contagion

Fabrizio Carmignani and Parvinder Kler ()

The World Economy, 2018, vol. 41, issue 1, 126-142

Abstract: We estimate the temporal, spatial and “spatio†temporal†effects of war using a dynamic spatial panel model. Our argument is that it is important to account for both the space and temporal lags concurrently, while instead the existing literature largely tends to focus on one or the other. Key findings are as follows: first, there is evidence that both temporal and spatial effects significantly impact upon the duration of war. Second, we also find that the combined “spatio†temporal†interaction effect is significant only when excluding contemporaneous spatial lag effect. Third, while stronger for high†intensity conflict, spatial and temporal effects remain significant also for low†intensity conflict. Fourth, the spatial effect is stronger in magnitude for interstate wars. Our results point to the importance of regional co†operation for conflict prevention and peace stabilisation.

Date: 2018
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://doi.org/10.1111/twec.12522

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bla:worlde:v:41:y:2018:i:1:p:126-142

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.blackwell ... bs.asp?ref=0378-5920

Access Statistics for this article

The World Economy is currently edited by David Greenaway

More articles in The World Economy from Wiley Blackwell
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Wiley Content Delivery ().