THE EFFECTS OF ASYMMETRIC TRANSMISSION OF EXCHANGE RATE ON INFLATION IN IRAN:APPLICATION OF THRESHOLD MODELS

Yazdan Naghdi and Soheila Kaghazian
Additional contact information
Yazdan Naghdi: Islamic Azad University, Iran
Soheila Kaghazian: Islamic Azad University, Iran

Studies in Business and Economics, 2015, vol. 10, issue 2, 99-113

Abstract: Given the recent fluctuation in the exchange rate and the presence of several factors such as the various economy-political sanctions (mainly embargos on oil and banking), extreme volatility in different economic fields, and consequently the devaluation of national and public procurement –A landmark that is emanating from exchange rate fluctuation – two points should be noted: First, it is essential to review the effect of exchange rate fluctuation on macro economic variables such as inflation and to provide appropriate policies. Second, the existence of this condition provides the chance to study the relation between exchange rate and inflation in a non-linear and asymmetric method. Hence, the present study seeks to use TAR model and, on the basis of monthly time series data over the period March 2002 to March 2014, to analyze the cross-asymmetric and non-linear exchange rate on consumer price index (CPI) in Iran. The results also show the presence of an asymmetric long-term relationship between these variables (exchange rate and CPI). Also, in the Iranian economy, the effect of negative shocks of exchange rate on inflation is more sustainable than the one from positive shocks.

Keywords: Consumer Price Index; the Asymmetric flow Pattern; Threshold Autoregressive Model (TAR) (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://eccsf.ulbsibiu.ro/RePEc/blg/journl/1028naghdi&kaghazian.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:blg:journl:v:10:y:2015:i:2:p:99-113

Access Statistics for this article

More articles in Studies in Business and Economics from Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences Dumbravii Avenue, No 17, postal code 550324, Sibiu, Romania. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Mihaela Herciu ().