Do inflation expectations currently pose a risk to inflation?

Sílvia Domit (), Christopher Jackson and Matt Roberts-Sklar
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Sílvia Domit: Bank of England

Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin, 2015, vol. 55, issue 55, 165-180

Abstract: People’s expectations about future inflation play an important role in determining the current rate of inflation and so in the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting its remit. Measures of inflation expectations at both short and longer horizons have generally fallen over the past year. Despite that, most indicators are broadly consistent with expectations remaining anchored to the MPC’s inflation target. Lower inflation expectations could lead to weak inflation becoming more persistent, although there are few signs that weaker inflation expectations have weighed significantly on inflation over the recent past.

Date: 2015
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