 A spatio-temporal analysis of migration rates in the Emilia-Romagna RegionAngelina Mazzocchetti and
Fedele Greco
Statistica, 2011, vol. 71, issue 1, 113-124 Abstract: Migration – the movement of people from one location to another on any geographic scale – affects both the areas of origin and of destination. The aim of the present analysis is to understand how municipalities’ net migration rates are influenced by the demographic structure of the population. The analysis is conducted on the 341 municipalities within the Emila-Romagna Region of Italy, by means of a spatio-temporal Bayesian hierarchical model. The need to take account for spatial dependence is demonstrated by comparing a spatial and a non-spatial model. Model hierarchy enables us to highlight province-specific temporal trends for both Italian and foreign flows: a decreasing trend is evident for Italians, while an increasing trend is observed for foreigners. At a spatial level, we show that the contribution of foreigners to population growth is higher than that of Italian migrants. Italian net migration rates are also negative in many municipalities that are losing their Italian population and increasing the number of foreigners residing there. Date: 2011 There are no downloads for this item, see the EconPapers FAQ for hints about obtaining it. Related works: Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bot:rivsta:v:71:y:2011:i:1:p:113-124 Access Statistics for this article Statistica is currently edited by Department of Statistics, University of Bologna More articles in Statistica from Department of Statistics, University of Bologna Contact information at EDIRC. |
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