Considerations on a posteriori probability

Corrado Corrado Gini

Statistica, 2015, vol. 75, issue 2, 135-151

Abstract: In this first paper of 1911 relating to the sex ratio at birth, Gini repurposed a Laplace’s succession rule according to a Bayesian version. The Gini's intuition consisted in assuming for prior probability a Beta type distribution and introducing the "method of results (direct and indirect)" for the determination of prior probabilities according to the statistical frequency obtained from statistical data.

Keywords: Prior and posterior probabilities; Bayes-Laplace solution; Beta distribution; Sex ratio at birth (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bot:rivsta:v:75:y:2015:i:2:p:135-151

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