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Correlates of Inter-Districts Migrations in Tanzania. A Gravity-Type Modeling Approach

Elena Pirani (), Maria Francesca Marino and Alessandra Petrucci
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Elena Pirani: Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti", Università di Firenze
Maria Francesca Marino: Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti", Università di Firenze
Alessandra Petrucci: Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti", Università di Firenze

Statistica, 2019, vol. 79, issue 2, 201-221

Abstract: In this paper, we investigate the role of environmental factors as potential drivers of internal migrations in Tanzania, along with a number of socio-economic factors traditionally identified as key correlates. Climate changes are expected to exert pressure on areas which mainly rely on agricultural activities and, as a result, act as push factors for population movements. Yet, understanding the association between migration, environmental conditions, and objectively-determined characteristics of origin and destination territories remains a challenging task, especially in developing countries. In this study, we follow a macro approach and focus on migration flows across Tanzanian districts. By implementing a gravity-type model, we analyse the potential impact of environmental shocks and socio-economic characteristics of both the area of origin and destination on inter-districts migration.

Keywords: Climate change; Gravity-type models; Population flows; Socio-economic conditions (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bot:rivsta:v:79:y:2019:i:2:p:201-221

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