Threshold Autoregressive Individuals Control Charts

Chimka Justin R. and Walker Lindsey
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Chimka Justin R.: 4207 Bell Engineering Center, University of Arkansas, Fayetteville AR 72701 USA. jchimka@uark.edu
Walker Lindsey: 4207 Bell Engineering Center, University of Arkansas, Fayetteville AR 72701 USA

Stochastics and Quality Control, 2009, vol. 24, issue 1, 55-73

Abstract: We investigate historically troublesome threshold autoregressive (TAR) model specification in the context of epidemiologic surveillance with meta-models of log likelihood arising from reasonable combinations of TAR parameter values. In this research, a system for intelligently specifying TAR with influenza activity data has lead to a valuable new model-based chart: The threshold autoregressive individuals control (TARIC) chart.

Date: 2009
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DOI: 10.1515/EQC.2009.55

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