A Binomial Integer-Valued ARCH Model
Ristić Miroslav M. (),
Weiß Christian H. () and
Janjić Ana D.
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Ristić Miroslav M.: Department of Mathematics, University of Niš, Niš, Serbia
Weiß Christian H.: Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Helmut Schmidt University Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany
Janjić Ana D.: Department of Mathematics, University of Niš, Niš, Serbia
The International Journal of Biostatistics, 2016, vol. 12, issue 2, 21
Abstract:
We present an integer-valued ARCH model which can be used for modeling time series of counts with under-, equi-, or overdispersion. The introduced model has a conditional binomial distribution, and it is shown to be strictly stationary and ergodic. The unknown parameters are estimated by three methods: conditional maximum likelihood, conditional least squares and maximum likelihood type penalty function estimation. The asymptotic distributions of the estimators are derived. A real application of the novel model to epidemic surveillance is briefly discussed. Finally, a generalization of the introduced model is considered by introducing an integer-valued GARCH model.
Keywords: binomial INARCH (p) model; binomial INGARCH (p; q) model; overdispersion; parameter estimation; epidemic surveillance (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bpj:ijbist:v:12:y:2016:i:2:p:21:n:6
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DOI: 10.1515/ijb-2015-0051
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