Simultaneous Inference of Treatment Effect Modification by Intermediate Response Endpoint Principal Strata with Application to Vaccine Trials
Zhuang Yingying (),
Huang Ying and
Gilbert Peter B.
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Zhuang Yingying: Department of Biostatistics, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
Huang Ying: Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, WA, USA
Gilbert Peter B.: Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center & University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
The International Journal of Biostatistics, 2020, vol. 16, issue 1, 14
Abstract:
In randomized clinical trials, researchers are often interested in identifying an inexpensive intermediate study endpoint (typically a biomarker) that is a strong effect modifier of the treatment effect on a longer-term clinical endpoint of interest. Motivated by randomized placebo-controlled preventive vaccine efficacy trials, within the principal stratification framework a pseudo-score type estimator has been proposed to estimate disease risks conditional on the counter-factual biomarker of interest under each treatment assignment to vaccine or placebo, yielding an estimator of biomarker conditional vaccine efficacy. This method can be used for trial designs that use baseline predictors of the biomarker and/or designs that vaccinate disease-free placebo recipients at the end of the trial. In this article, we utilize the pseudo-score estimator to estimate the biomarker conditional vaccine efficacy adjusting for baseline covariates. We also propose a perturbation resampling method for making simultaneous inference on conditional vaccine efficacy over the values of the biomarker. We illustrate our method with datasets from two phase 3 dengue vaccine efficacy trials.
Keywords: dengue vaccine; estimated likelihood; principal stratification; pseudo-score; resampling method (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bpj:ijbist:v:16:y:2020:i:1:p:14:n:4
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DOI: 10.1515/ijb-2018-0058
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