Unconventional monetary policy reaction functions: evidence from the US
Agnello Luca,
Vitor Castro,
Gilles Dufrénot (),
Fredj Jawadi and
Ricardo Sousa
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Agnello Luca: University of Palermo, Department of Economics, Business and Statistics (SEAS), Viale delle Scienze, 90128 Palermo, Italy
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, 2020, vol. 24, issue 4, 18
Abstract:
We specify unconventional monetary policy reaction functions for the Fed using linear and nonlinear econometric frameworks. We find that nonstandard policy measures are largely driven by the dynamics of inflation and the output gap, with the effect being particularly strong during QE rounds. Moreover, we uncover the presence of asymmetry and regime dependence in central bank’s actions since the global financial crisis, especially concerning the response of the term spread and the shadow short rate to the growth rate of central bank reserves. From a policy perspective and given the lack of a systematic response of monetary policy to asset price growth in nonstandard times, our findings seem to corroborate the view that concerns about asset price bubbles, financial sector pro-cyclicality and systemic risk should be part of the macro-prudential policy toolkit.
Keywords: asset prices; central bank reserves; inflation; nonlinear models; output gap; shadow short rate; term spread; unconventional monetary policy reaction function (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E21 E43 E51 E53 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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DOI: 10.1515/snde-2018-0088
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