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Commitment Issues: Does the Fed Have an Inflation Incentive to Commit?

C. Scott

Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, 2024, vol. 28, issue 5, 767-784

Abstract: Long-run results indicate that for price and wage inflation there is little disincentive for discretionary policy when monetary policy is at or near the zero-lower bound. Optimal commitment and discretionary policy are examined in a popular DSGE framework. The monetary authority targets a convex combination of price and wage inflationary gaps around time-varying inflation targets. A joint hypothesis test is derived to determine if the central bank faces an inflationary disincentive for activist policy. Considering price and wage inflation separately, there are significant short-run disincentives to discretionary policy. Discretion and commitment policies are not different for price and wage inflation when nominal interest rates are persistently low.

Keywords: optimal monetary policy; timeless perspective policy; discretionary policy; wage and price inflation; Bayesian inference (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E31 E58 E61 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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DOI: 10.1515/snde-2022-0034

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