What Can We Predict About Libya and the Arab Spring from Statistical Studies?

Green Alan M
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Green Alan M: Lander Universtiy

Statistics, Politics and Policy, 2011, vol. 2, issue 1, 4

Abstract: While research using cross country data and analysis is rife with statistical problems, the best papers do provide valuable insight. This commentary illustrates how an excellent paper on democratization provides a useful “stability threshold” that helps to understand current events in the Middle East, especially the Western intervention in Libya.

Keywords: Libya; democracy; Middle East (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011
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DOI: 10.2202/2151-7509.1029

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