Title: analysis of term structure of interest rates in Latin America countries from 2006 to 2014

Filipe Stona, Jean Amann (), Maurício Delago Morais (), Divanildo Triches () and Igor Morais
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Jean Amann: Mestrando em Economia pelo Programa de Pós-Graduação em Economia (PPGE) da Universidade do Vale do Rio dos Sinos (UNISINOS)
Maurício Delago Morais: Unisinos

Brazilian Review of Finance, 2015, vol. 13, issue 4, 650-690

Abstract: This article aims to investigate the relationship between the term structure of interest rates and macroeconomic factors in selected countries of Latin America, such as Brazil, Chile and Mexico, between 2006 and 2014, on an autoregressive vector model. Specifically, we perform estimations of Nelson-Siegel, Diabold-Li and principal component analysis to test how the change of macroeconomic factors, e.g. inflation, production and unemployment levels affect the yield curves. For Brazil and Mexico, GDP and inflation variables are relevant to change the yield curves, with the former shifting more the level, and the latter with greater influence on the slope. For Chile, inflation had the greatest impact on the level and, specifically for Mexico, the unemployment variable also changed the slope of the yield curve.

Keywords: Interest rates; Term structure; Nelson-Siegel; Diebold-Li; Principal component analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C58 E43 E58 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:brf:journl:v:13:y:2015:i:4:p:650-690

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