Risk analysis of the business profitability in agricultural companies using combine harvesters
Miroslav Mimra,
Miroslav Kavka and
František Kumhála
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Miroslav Mimra: Department of Machinery Utilization, Faculty of Engineering, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Prague, Czech Republic
Miroslav Kavka: Department of Machinery Utilization, Faculty of Engineering, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Prague, Czech Republic
František Kumhála: Department of Agricultural Machines, Faculty of Engineering, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Prague, Czech Republic
Research in Agricultural Engineering, 2017, vol. 63, issue 3, 99-105
Abstract:
This article presents the results of entrepreneurial risk analysis in a company providing agricultural services where a group of combine harvesters is used. An economic model was created in order to emulate the operational costs of the combine harvesters using MS Excel. Based on the results of the sensitivity analysis, the key factors were determined. For these factors, the risk of achieving the desired economic results was created subsequently. For the simulated situation, the key factors were activated within the range of ± 10% using a triangular distribution of these values. The result of this analysis showed that the most frequent value of CZK 389,692/year will be achieved with a probability of 49.42%. The overall outcome of the combine harvesters should be profitable.
Keywords: economic model; scenarios; profit; machinery utilization; business profitability (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:caa:jnlrae:v:63:y:2017:i:3:id:63-2016-rae
DOI: 10.17221/63/2016-RAE
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