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Libéralisation commerciale, croissance et pauvreté au Sénégal: une analyse à l'aide d'un MEGC microsimulé dynamique

Nabil Annabi (), Fatou Cissé, John Cockburn () and Bernard Decaluwe ()

Economie & Prévision, 2008, vol. n° 186, issue 5, 117-131

Abstract: An integrated sequential dynamic computable general equilibrium model is used to study the potential poverty and inequality effects of a complete tariff removal in Senegal. The model is calibrated with a 1996 social accounting matrix and a 1995 survey of 3,278 households. The outcomes indicate small short-run negative impacts in terms of welfare and poverty. In the long run, growth effects captured by the model bring an expansion of the industrial and service sectors and a substantial poverty decrease. However, the decomposition of the results shows that the contribution of the redistribution component to poverty alleviation is negative.

Keywords: general equilibrium; dynamic model; trade liberalization; poverty; inequality; Senegal (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2008
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