Non-linéarité entre inflation et croissance économique: quels enseignements pour la zone BEAC ?

Itchoko Motande Mondjeli Mwa Ndjokou and Pierre Christian Tsopmo (christiantsopmo@gmail.com)

Revue d’économie du développement, 2017, vol. 25, issue 2, 41-62

Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to estimate the optimal inflation rate, defined as the threshold level below and above which inflation affects economic growth, from the experience of the BEAC. For this purpose, we use panel data over the period 1985-2013. Relying upon the estimation of Panel Smooth Transition Regression (PSTR) model inspired from González et al. (2005), our main findings are the following. (i) The optimal inflation rate is around 4.3 %. (ii) Below the threshold, an increase of 1% of inflation enhances growth by 0.28%. Over the threshold, a one percent increase in inflation leads to a reduction of 0.26% in growth. These results are robust with respect to sensitivity analyzes and GMM estimation. Codes JEL : E31 C23.

Keywords: Inflation-growth relation; Optimal inflation threshold; PSTR model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C23 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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