L’évolution démographique récente de la France. Moins de naissances, de mariages et de migrations, plus de décès… la Covid-19 bouleverse la dynamique de la population française

Didier Breton, Nicolas Belliot, Magali Barbieri, Hippolyte d’Albis and Magali Mazuy
Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Hippolyte d'Albis

Population (french edition), 2021, vol. 76, issue 4, 577-638

Abstract: On 1 January 2021, the population of France was 67.4 million, 120,000 more than on 1 January 2020. Unlike many European countries, the French population did not decline, but growth slowed sharply due mainly to the COVID-19 pandemic, which affected all components of population change. Provisional data indicate that the number of residence permits valid for at least 1 year granted to third-country nationals likely fell in 2020 (?10,000), particularly among immigrants from Africa and those entering France for family or humanitarian reasons. Births also fell sharply, with a spectacular dip 9 months after the lockdown. This drop reflects a decrease in the number of conceptions and not an increase in abortions, whose number fell in 2020, notably in the months following the first lockdown. But the two demographic events most affected by the pandemic were marriages, which became impossible because of strict social distancing rules imposed during lockdown (?70,000), and, as expected, mortality. Life expectancy fell by 0.56 years for males and 0.45 years for females, dropping back to the levels observed 6 years previously.

Keywords: France; demographic situation; migration; fertility; induced abortion; marriage; civil union; divorce; separation; same-sex couple; ageing; mortality; cause of death; COVID-19; pandemic (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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