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Attaques spéculatives et crédibilité du régime de change. Quel arbitrage pour le policy-mix ?

Jean-Pierre Allegret and Marie-Noëlle Calès

Revue économique, 2001, vol. 52, issue 2, 249-264

Abstract: Since the Asian and Brazilian exchange rate crises have occurred, the reaction of authorities has been the subject of an intense debate. Indeed, coping with a speculative attack, domestic authorities both increase interest rates and contract fiscal policy. It appears that such a combination of policy instruments is counterproductive. This paper analyses the credibility of the policy-mix used by authorities. But, opposite to traditional credibility models, fiscal policy is explicitly introduced in the loss function of the authorities. The model suggests that a restrictive fiscal policy is not necessary a credible decision to defence the exchange rate target. Classification JEL : E5 ; E6 ; F4

JEL-codes: F4 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2001
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Journal Article: Attaques spéculatives et crédibilité du régime de change. Quel arbitrage pour le policy-mix ? (2001) Downloads
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