Un indicateur de croissance à court terme de la zone euro

Françoise Charpin

Revue de l'OFCE, 2002, vol. 83, issue 4, 229-242

Abstract: The paper shows how to exploit monthly data rapidly available to forecast the growth of real GDP two quarters ahead using econometric equations. The procedure consists of two steps. First, we estimate an equation giving the quarterly GDP growth according to coincident and leading series. Second, we estimate monthly equations permitting to forecast the coincident and the leading series which lead is less than six months. It allows us to deduce the GDP growth for the current and next quarters. We verify that the instrument would have produced acceptable forecasts over the last three years.

Date: 2002
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (16)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.cairn.info/load_pdf.php?ID_ARTICLE=REOF_083_0229 (application/pdf)
http://www.cairn.info/revue-de-l-ofce-2002-4-page-229.htm (text/html)
free

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:cai:reofsp:reof_083_0229

Access Statistics for this article

More articles in Revue de l'OFCE from Presses de Sciences-Po
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Jean-Baptiste de Vathaire ().