L'analyse des baromètres économiques de Persons et Wagemann instrument de prévision – instrument de théorisation, 1919-1932

Éric Chancellier

Revue d'économie politique, 2006, vol. 116, issue 5, 613-632

Abstract: Our aim is to study the various uses of economic barometers in Europe and in the United-States between 1919 and 1932. First, we explain the way Persons constructed the famous Harvard barometer [1919-1930] which was exclusively used for forecasting. Finally, we suggest that the work achieved in European conjuncture institutes relied on Persons? works. Yet, they attributed a more important role to theory: economic barometers were seen as a support of business cycles theories, as the work of Wagemann suggests [1925-1932].

Keywords: Economic barometers; business cycles; model; history of statistical economics (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2006
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