Note de Recherche. Analyse économique des élections municipales: Le cas de la France (1983-2001)

Etienne Farvaque and Nicolas Jean

Revue d'économie régionale et urbaine, 2007, vol. décembre, issue 5, 945-961

Abstract: This paper is a study of the joint impact of macroeconomic conditions and of party endorsements on the result of parties? candidates in local elections in France. Our sample covers the 1983-2001 period, and around 600 towns. We first test for economic variables, and find that the electorate penalizes the incumbent party for unemployment or for a high misery index. We then turn to fixed effects estimates to review the impact of partisanship on local elections. The presence of an incumbency premium is confirmed. We also find a strong impact of endorsement, confirming the presence of partisanship in local elections results, and we exhibit a tiredness effect for mayors running successive mandates.

Keywords: political economy; local elections; partisan theory; macroeconomic performance (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2007
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