Intégration Est-Ouest dans l'Union Européenne: un état des lieux

Frédérique Festoc-Louis and Nolwenn Roudaut

Revue d'économie régionale et urbaine, 2011, vol. décembre, issue 5, 803-829

Abstract: The strong reorientation of trade from East to West, together with a rapid growth of trade between the EU and the Central and Eastern European countries (CEECs), led to a strong integration between Eastern and Western Europe. It then seems relevant to ask whether this integration process is completed. This paper uses a gravity model to assess the ?theoretical? trade, or ?potential trade?, between the EU-15 and the CEECs. The gravity equation is estimated on a panel data of EU-15 countries over the period 1990-2005, using the HAUSMAN-TAYLOR (1981) instrumental variable method. Our principal results show that the CEECS managed to fill the main part of the gap in their trade with EU ; on the West side, Germany is the most integrated country with CEECS ; and on the East side, central eastern countries have filled the gap more than others.

Keywords: Gravity models; trade potential central and eastern europe (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011
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