Prédire à la fois les Trente Glorieuses et une stagnation économique après 2000, Jean Fourastié 1949

David Le Bris and Elie Gray

Revue française d'économie, 2023, vol. XXXVIII, issue 3, 31-59

Abstract: Innovative economist and policy maker, Jean Fourastié introduced in 1949 a theory predicting the strong economic growth of the “30 Glorieuses”, the subsequent fall of manufacturing and rise of services, as well as a secular stagnation at the turn of the millennium. His theory inspired Baumol’s cost disease (Baumol effect) and remains relevant today for analysing recent economic evolutions.

Date: 2023
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