Patterns of mobility into and out of poverty: the role of work and education. First results of the INCLUSIM microsimulation model

Ingrid Schockaert, Rembert Deblander, Ides Nicaise () and Steven Groenez

Reflets et perspectives de la vie économique, 2011, vol. L, issue 4, 143-154

Abstract: In the paper we present a dynamic micro-simulation model to examine short and long term mobility in and out of poverty in a context of educational deprivation and work opportunities. Using eight waves of the Belgian Household Panel Study transformed into monthly data, we estimate a dynamic selection model for poverty, conditional on educational attainment and work status. We then present paths in and out of poverty, for individuals without lower and higher secondary education and without work at the beginning of the observation period. Our results point out that work and educational resources play a different role in the short and longer term. A lack of lower secondary qualification renders people much more vulnerable to (extreme) poverty and reduces their chances to escape this condition. By contrast, without higher secondary education, up- and downward mobility is not different from that of the total population. Without work, the immediate risk of falling below the poverty threshold or below the minimum income is high. This situation, however, seems to be mostly temporary.

Date: 2011
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.cairn.info/load_pdf.php?ID_ARTICLE=RPVE_504_0143 (application/pdf)
http://www.cairn.info/revue-reflets-et-perspective ... -2011-4-page-143.htm (text/html)
free

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:cai:rpvedb:rpve_504_0143

Access Statistics for this article

More articles in Reflets et perspectives de la vie économique from De Boeck Université
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Jean-Baptiste de Vathaire ().