On the fault line? The Irish economy in a time of geoeconomic fragmentation

Cian Ruane, Fergal McCann, Katie Bourke, James Carroll, Wendy Disch, Matija Lozej, Elizaveta Lukmanova, Boryana Madzharova, Michael Mahony, Paraic O'Gorman and Michael O'Grady
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Cian Ruane: Central Bank of Ireland
Fergal McCann: Central Bank of Ireland
Katie Bourke: Central Bank of Ireland
James Carroll: Central Bank of Ireland
Wendy Disch: Central Bank of Ireland
Elizaveta Lukmanova: Central Bank of Ireland
Boryana Madzharova: Central Bank of Ireland
Michael Mahony: Central Bank of Ireland
Paraic O'Gorman: Central Bank of Ireland
Michael O'Grady: Central Bank of Ireland

Quarterly Bulletin Articles, 2025, 1-59

Abstract: The international economy has been fragmenting along geopolitical lines for close to a decade, with changes in US policy posing a particular risk to Ireland. Following Brexit, the 2018 US-China trade war, and sanctions relating to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the US administration’s imposition of the highest tariff levels in almost 100 years is the most recent example of the process of “geoeconomic fragmentation”. Ireland’s strong trade and FDI linkages with the US make it uniquely exposed.

Date: 2025-09
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