THE EVOLUTION OF PRIVATE LOANS IN ROMANIA AND EXAMINATION OF SOME FACTORS OF INFLUENCE

Mihai Mieila
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Mihai Mieila: VALAHIA UNIVERSITY OF TARGOVISTE, ROMANIA

Annals - Economy Series, 2017, vol. 4, 120-127

Abstract: The paper analyzes the evolution of Romanian private loans, in national currency(lei), granted to households and non-financial corporations in the period between July 2005 and April 2017. In this context, after reviewing the importance of credit within the context of national economy is presented the evolution of some factors considered as influential upon the evolution of credit. These factors are, namely: the average interest rate of outstanding private loans granted by credit institutions, the average interest rate of outstanding amount of deposits received by credit institutions, the ratio of minimum(or reserve) requirements, the interest rate on required reserves and the monetary policy rate. The database was built using the available data from the Statistical Section of the monthly bulletins released by the National Bank of Romania (herein after, referred to as NBR) and published on the institution’s website. Every series of data is subject of testing for stationarity, using both the Augmented Dickey-Fuller and Pillips-Perron tests (herein after, referred to as ADF and PP, respectively), and the reported results are presented within the paper. In order to avoid spurious regression, following the stationarization of the data series, an analysis model is put in place and the significant results are subject to further interpretation.

Keywords: credit; interest; monetary policy; economic growth; banking system (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:cbu:jrnlec:y:2017:v:4:p:120-127

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