 A ‘beyond WTO’ scenario for Swiss agriculture: Consequences for income generation and the provision of public goodsRobert Huber and Christian Häberli Journal of Socio-Economics in Agriculture (Until 2015: Yearbook of Socioeconomics in Agriculture), 2010, vol. 3, issue 1, 361-400 Abstract: The future agricultural policy framework seems clear. Even though the present trends do not point in this direction there is a strong probability that in the long run Swiss agriculture will have to forfeit border protection, while domestic support will be restricted to fully Green Box-compatible direct payments. We use a normative math-ematical programming model to illustrate possible effects for agri-cultural production and the corresponding agricultural income in the medium term (2012–2018) under such a ‘beyond WTO’ scenar-io. We discuss the results with respect to the provision of the pub-lic goods stated in Art.104 of the Swiss constitution. The potential effects for agricultural production in Switzerland are considerable. The agricultural sector in the lowlands would be especially affect-ed, with dairy farming remaining the most viable sector. In order to survive commercially, a further drastic reduction in production costs would be unavoidable, and efforts to realise prime premiums would have to be intensified. Keywords: WTO; sector modelling; Swiss agricultural policy (search for similar items in EconPapers) Downloads: (external link) Related works: Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:cha:ysa001:v:3:y:2010:i:1:p:361-400 Access Statistics for this article More articles in Journal of Socio-Economics in Agriculture (Until 2015: Yearbook of Socioeconomics in Agriculture) from Swiss Society for Agricultural Economics and Rural Sociology |
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