Bankruptcy Prediction for Chilean Companies

Felipe Zurita

Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), 2008, vol. 11, issue 1, 93-116

Abstract: This paper compares statistical and option-based models of financial instability for the group of listed Chilean companies. Statistical models have the proper fit, although the peculiar history of bankruptcies in the period of analysis, namely their concentration in the early period, questions their usefulness as a predictive tool. In models based on option theory, on the other hand, average bankruptcy probabilities appear to be highly correlated with bank risk indicators, and precedes them by up to three quarters. Overall, this first measuring effort is moderately successful, but reveals a number of paths worth exploring.

Date: 2008
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://si2.bcentral.cl/public/pdf/revista-economi ... 1abr2008pp93-116.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:chb:bcchec:v:11:y:2008:i:1:p:93-116

Access Statistics for this article

Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy) is currently edited by Álvaro Aguirre, Sofía Bauducco and Andrés Fernández

More articles in Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy) from Central Bank of Chile Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Fredherick Sanllehi ().