The Relevance of Currency Mismatch Indicators: an Analysis Through Determinants of Emerging Market Spreads

Stephanie Prat

Economie Internationale, 2007, issue 111, 101-122

Abstract: We study the impact of currency mismatches on changes in emerging sovereign bond spreads using new currency mismatch indicators, both at the aggregate level and for the banking sector, for 25 emerging countries. We use first a panel data estimation of EMBI secondary market spreads and a set of standard variables related to debt sustainability to construct a basic model of determinants of emerging sovereign spreads. Then we include our currency mismatch indicators to test their relevance in emerging spread determination. We find these indicators play a significant role for the determination of emerging sovereign bond spreads. Finally, we can conclude that these indicators should be considered more consistently in analyses of emerging market vulnerabilities.

Keywords: Currency mismatches; emerging markets; sovereign spreads; financial markets; international lending (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E44 F34 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2007
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (14)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:cii:cepiei:2007-3te

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